Yaroslav Makovka vs Denys Maltsev 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13128461

Played Sep 14Finished

Yaroslav Makovka

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811114411911––

Denys Maltsev

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Denys Maltsev to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Denys Maltsev below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 54.0%

69 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:10

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Maltsev

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Makovka 1473 vs Maltsev 1471

Makovka

Wrong

both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Makovka 40% vs Maltsev 80%

Maltsev

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Makovka 20% vs Maltsev 60%

Maltsev

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Makovka +2 · Maltsev +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maltsev)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Maltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMakovka 1.91 / Maltsev 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Maltsev)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13128461

Makovka1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 44 of 126

Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53

Maltsev1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 109 of 194

Up 2–0, closes it87% 68 of 78

Up 1–0, closes it74% 85 of 115

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMakovkaMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 375 vs 452 / 88039.7%51.4%149 / 375 vs 452 / 880Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Maltsev

Makovka 1.91/Maltsev 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Maltsev · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Maltsev won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

Y. Makovka10