TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116729
Played Sep 12Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115117117––
Mykola Slozka
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 56.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 36–17 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 17 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-17 in 53
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 19 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1463 vs Slozka 1574
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 60% vs Slozka 40%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev +1 · Slozka -3
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Maltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 1.57 / Slozka 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Maltsev)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116729
Maltsev1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 118 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it86% 75 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it73% 93 of 127
Slozka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 94 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev7wins
AwaySlozka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev100%6 of 6
AwaySlozka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev6Slozka4n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev7Slozka3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S3Maltsev7Slozka3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevSlozkaM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.826.0+5.8per matchSweeps63+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 890 vs 346 / 77251.4%44.8%457 / 890 vs 346 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevMaltsev 1.57/Slozka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:55D. Maltsev—61080M. Slozka—1112113
WSep 1 · 14:05D. Maltsev—1111113M. Slozka—9430
WAug 25 · 16:05D. Maltsev—8111110113M. Slozka—11881272
WJun 27 · 11:25D. Maltsev—1111113M. Slozka—6670
WJun 17 · 08:05D. Maltsev—1112113M. Slozka—61070
LJun 16 · 18:05D. Maltsev—10670M. Slozka—1211113
LJun 16 · 03:00D. Maltsev—11460M. Slozka—1311113
WJun 13 · 11:25D. Maltsev—1111113M. Slozka—9690
WJun 12 · 18:25D. Maltsev—1111113M. Slozka—2430
WJun 12 · 02:45D. Maltsev—1111113M. Slozka—4970
D. Maltsev10
WSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113LSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113LSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113
M. Slozka10
LSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113
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