TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111058
Played Sep 11Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11712141311511611
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 56.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 3–4 Mykola Slozka Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1449 vs Slozka 1595
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 40% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +1 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 2.00 / Slozka 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Slozka)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111058
Kuzmych2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Slozka1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKuzmych3wins
AwaySlozka4wins
5 of 7 to a deciderSlozka leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmych2Slozka5n = 7Slozka took 5 of 7
S2Kuzmych4Slozka3n = 7Kuzmych took 4 of 7
S3Kuzmych5Slozka2n = 7Kuzmych took 5 of 7
S4Kuzmych3Slozka3n = 6split evenly
S5Kuzmych2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKuzmychSlozkaK − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match44.143.9+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 79 vs 340 / 76341.8%44.6%33 / 79 vs 340 / 763Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKuzmych 2.00/Slozka 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 08:55V. Kuzmych—97111842M. Slozka—1111816113
LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych—881181M. Slozka—11115113
WAug 29 · 04:25V. Kuzmych—7111111113M. Slozka—11813852
LAug 28 · 15:25V. Kuzmych—78111152M. Slozka—111188113
WNov 16 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—1116118113M. Slozka—514131172
WNov 2 · 13:35V. Kuzmych—1111133M. Slozka—74110
LOct 26 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—41111772M. Slozka—118511113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113
M. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113
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