TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106198
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911111113118––
Serhii Prus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Serhii Prus below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 65 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 61.2%
65 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 9–9 Serhii Prus Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 8–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1603 vs Prus 1454
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Prus 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Prus 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +3 · Prus -2
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.50 / Prus 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Slozka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106198
Slozka1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 55 of 72
Prus2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka8wins
AwayPrus2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka83.3%5 of 6
AwayPrus25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Prus4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka9Prus1n = 10Slozka took 9 of 10
S3Slozka5Prus5n = 10split evenly
S4Slozka6Prus2n = 8Slozka took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaPrusS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.334.0+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaPrusBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 761 vs 197 / 40944.6%48.2%339 / 761 vs 197 / 409Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.50/Prus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka—814881S. Prus—111211113
WSep 5 · 13:25M. Slozka—11115113S. Prus—571151
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Slozka—12118123S. Prus—10911101
WAug 2 · 05:55M. Slozka—711911113S. Prus—11611892
WAug 1 · 14:25M. Slozka—1111103S. Prus—5670
WJul 31 · 23:15M. Slozka—12911113S. Prus—1011851
WJun 27 · 05:55M. Slozka—81114113S. Prus—1161251
LFeb 21 · 15:55M. Slozka—11134862S. Prus—9111111103
WFeb 15 · 09:55M. Slozka—1111113S. Prus—5790
WFeb 1 · 05:25M. Slozka—81111113S. Prus—113271
M. Slozka10
WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770
S. Prus10
LSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113LSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740
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