TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105697
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121191191210––
Serhii Prus
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Serhii Prus below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 84 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Prus at 55.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 4–12 Serhii Prus Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Prus
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1433 vs Prus 1489
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Prus 80%
Prus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Prus 70%
Prus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Prus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prus) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.00 / Prus 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Prus)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105697
Sydorchuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Prus1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 41 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayPrus6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk60%3 of 5
AwayPrus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk5Prus5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorchuk6Prus4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk6Prus4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S4Sydorchuk5Prus4n = 9Sydorchuk took 5 of 9
S5Sydorchuk0Prus5n = 5Prus took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukPrusS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.1+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukPrusBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 297 vs 197 / 40752.9%48.4%157 / 297 vs 197 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusSydorchuk 2.00/Prus 1.73
Miss
What we said
58.1%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 04:55O. Sydorchuk—91111852S. Prus—117611113
LSep 5 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk—6740S. Prus—1111113
WSep 4 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk—11911113S. Prus—511751
WAug 1 · 02:15O. Sydorchuk—91111113S. Prus—115651
WJul 19 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk—11114113S. Prus—971181
LJul 18 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk—91511392S. Prus—1113411113
WJun 4 · 06:25O. Sydorchuk—11119113S. Prus—571131
LApr 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk—149111172S. Prus—1211713113
LApr 5 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk—1110125112S. Prus—8121011133
LFeb 27 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk—51191182S. Prus—116119113
O. Sydorchuk10
WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123
S. Prus10
WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113
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