TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078861
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711115511––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 60.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 8–8 Mykola Slozka Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1405 vs Slozka 1549
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 20% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 60% vs Slozka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -1 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.25 / Slozka 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Slozka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078861
Prus2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Slozka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it73% 52 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus3wins
AwaySlozka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus0%0 of 3
AwaySlozka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Prus3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S3Prus5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Prus3Slozka5n = 8Slozka took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusSlozkaP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.8−4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 406 vs 338 / 76348%44.3%195 / 406 vs 338 / 763Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPrus 2.25/Slozka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:45S. Prus—10911101M. Slozka—12118123
LAug 2 · 05:55S. Prus—11611892M. Slozka—711911113
LAug 1 · 14:25S. Prus—5670M. Slozka—1111103
LJul 31 · 23:15S. Prus—1011851M. Slozka—12911113
LJun 27 · 05:55S. Prus—1161251M. Slozka—81114113
WFeb 21 · 15:55S. Prus—9111111103M. Slozka—11134862
LFeb 15 · 09:55S. Prus—5790M. Slozka—1111113
LFeb 1 · 05:25S. Prus—113271M. Slozka—81111113
WJan 17 · 14:55S. Prus—71111113M. Slozka—119851
WJan 9 · 15:55S. Prus—71112123M. Slozka—11710101
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
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