TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079249
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111171214611––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 75.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 2–9 Ivan Pytsko Serhii Prus has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1419 vs Pytsko 1512
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 70% vs Pytsko 50%
Prus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 3.25 / Pytsko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079249
Prus3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Pytsko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 43 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayPytsko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPytsko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S2Prus4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S3Prus4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S4Prus1Pytsko5n = 6Pytsko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusPytskoPrus − PytskoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.139.9−6.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 406 vs 328 / 59048%55.6%195 / 406 vs 328 / 590Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPrus 3.25/Pytsko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus—4111261I. Pytsko—11714113
LJul 9 · 20:15S. Prus—111281272I. Pytsko—8141110113
WJul 8 · 16:25S. Prus—611116113I. Pytsko—11761192
LJul 4 · 07:25S. Prus—7147101I. Pytsko—111211123
LFeb 1 · 11:25S. Prus—10660I. Pytsko—1211113
LMar 19 · 07:05S. Prus—5870I. Pytsko—1111113
WMar 18 · 02:30S. Prus—1211113I. Pytsko—10580
LMar 3 · 01:00S. Prus—7101151I. Pytsko—11129113
LFeb 12 · 11:35S. Prus—51440I. Pytsko—1116113
LFeb 11 · 24:00S. Prus—941191I. Pytsko—11118113
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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