TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061112
Played Sep 2Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119511118116
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 8–10 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1437 vs Pytsko 1582
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Pytsko 70%
Pytsko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -1 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.91 / Pytsko 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061112
Fashchevskyi1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 85 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Pytsko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 40 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Fashchevskyi6Pytsko4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi4Pytsko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.1−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 538 vs 323 / 58050.9%55.7%274 / 538 vs 323 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoFashchevskyi 1.91/Pytsko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi—1111113I. Pytsko—9580
WAug 2 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi—111011123I. Pytsko—9127101
WJul 25 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—811412113I. Pytsko—119111092
WJul 24 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi—11812143I. Pytsko—51110121
LJul 23 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi—5161191I. Pytsko—11184113
LJul 14 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi—138671I. Pytsko—111111113
WJul 8 · 12:55I. Fashchevskyi—21111113I. Pytsko—119591
LJul 4 · 11:25I. Fashchevskyi—411491I. Pytsko—11611113
WMar 3 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi—711112113I. Pytsko—11951132
LMar 2 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi—6510I. Pytsko—1111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
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