TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073943
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5118111113––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 10–16 Mykola Slozka Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Slozka
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1440 vs Slozka 1544
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi +2 · Slozka +3
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.91 / Slozka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073943
Fashchevskyi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 88 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Slozka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 63 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlozka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi6Slozka4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5Fashchevskyi4Slozka1n = 5Fashchevskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiSlozkaF − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.942.4−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 547 vs 336 / 76050.8%44.2%278 / 547 vs 336 / 760Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaFashchevskyi 1.91/Slozka 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi—58110M. Slozka—1111133
LSep 2 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi—11113682M. Slozka—641111113
WAug 25 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi—142177123M. Slozka—12111511102
WAug 9 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—791111113M. Slozka—11116992
WJun 27 · 07:55I. Fashchevskyi—111110113M. Slozka—891231
WJun 26 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi—1081111113M. Slozka—12115842
LJun 26 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi—1179121M. Slozka—71111143
LJun 13 · 05:25I. Fashchevskyi—64110M. Slozka—1111133
WJun 12 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi—121192113M. Slozka—109111182
WJun 12 · 24:45I. Fashchevskyi—11711173M. Slozka—8118151
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
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