TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073992
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911311––––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 1–1 Ivan Fashchevskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:02What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fashchevskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1431 vs Fashchevskyi 1446
Fashchevskyi
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Kuzmych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 40% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych -2 · Fashchevskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.83 / Fashchevskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073992
Kuzmych1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Fashchevskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKuzmych1wins
AwayFashchevskyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKuzmychFashchevskyiK − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match52.552.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 70 vs 277 / 54541.4%50.8%29 / 70 vs 277 / 545Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiKuzmych 1.83/Fashchevskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 25 · 08:55V. Kuzmych—1011171462I. Fashchevskyi—1291912113
WJul 24 · 18:55V. Kuzmych—12911153I. Fashchevskyi—10118131
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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