TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084424
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191178111618114
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 16-18
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 106 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 3–3 Volodymyr Kuzmych Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1588 vs Kuzmych 1449
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Kuzmych 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Kuzmych 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +3 · Kuzmych +1
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.73 / Kuzmych 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Slozka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084424
Slozka1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Kuzmych2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 11 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSlozka3wins
AwayKuzmych3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka75%3 of 4
AwayKuzmychn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Kuzmych2n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
S2Slozka2Kuzmych4n = 6Kuzmych took 4 of 6
S3Slozka2Kuzmych4n = 6Kuzmych took 4 of 6
S4Slozka3Kuzmych2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S5Slozka2Kuzmych2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSlozkaKuzmychS − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.743.3−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 770 vs 32 / 7744.7%41.6%344 / 770 vs 32 / 77Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.73/Kuzmych 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 20:45M. Slozka—11115113V. Kuzmych—881181
LAug 29 · 04:25M. Slozka—11813852V. Kuzmych—7111111113
WAug 28 · 15:25M. Slozka—111188113V. Kuzmych—78111152
LNov 16 · 18:05M. Slozka—514131172V. Kuzmych—1116118113
LNov 2 · 13:35M. Slozka—74110V. Kuzmych—1111133
WOct 26 · 18:05M. Slozka—118511113V. Kuzmych—41111772
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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