TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073990
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611211114411––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 60 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 1–3 Mykola Slozka Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Slozka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1473 vs Slozka 1575
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.20 / Slozka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Slozka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073990
Sydorchuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Slozka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it73% 52 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwaySlozka3wins
Slozka leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Slozka3n = 4Slozka took 3 of 4
S2Sydorchuk0Slozka4n = 4Slozka took 4 of 4
S3Sydorchuk2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSydorchukSlozkaSydorchuk − SlozkaBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match25.833.5−7.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 288 vs 339 / 76453.5%44.4%154 / 288 vs 339 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSydorchuk 2.20/Slozka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk—621141M. Slozka—11114113
LAug 1 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk—7680M. Slozka—1111113
LMar 1 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk—8460M. Slozka—1111113
WFeb 7 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk—11511143M. Slozka—5113121
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
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