TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079435
Played Sep 5Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 35–31 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-31 in 66
Slozka
Correct
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1591 vs Pytsko 1562
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Pytsko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Pytsko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +4 · Pytsko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.83 / Pytsko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pytsko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079435
Slozka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Pytsko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwayPytsko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka66.7%4 of 6
AwayPytsko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Pytsko4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka6Pytsko4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Slozka2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S4Slozka3Pytsko4n = 7Pytsko took 4 of 7
S5Slozka3Pytsko2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaPytskoS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.8−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 765 vs 328 / 58844.4%55.8%340 / 765 vs 328 / 588Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoSlozka 1.83/Pytsko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 05:05M. Slozka—9860I. Pytsko—1111113
LSep 1 · 13:05M. Slozka—6880I. Pytsko—1111113
LAug 31 · 23:30M. Slozka—11114582I. Pytsko—861111113
WAug 29 · 06:25M. Slozka—8111211113I. Pytsko—11914972
WAug 28 · 17:24M. Slozka—115912113I. Pytsko—611111062
LAug 28 · 13:25M. Slozka—11118862I. Pytsko—371111113
WAug 27 · 20:45M. Slozka—131498133I. Pytsko—11121111112
WAug 23 · 05:55M. Slozka—11911123I. Pytsko—7117101
LAug 22 · 18:55M. Slozka—811851I. Pytsko—11811113
WAug 22 · 02:45M. Slozka—1111113I. Pytsko—9890
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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