TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073026
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115114911115––
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 50–45 Mykhailo Potapov Mykhailo Potapov has won 45 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-45 in 95
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 5 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1565 vs Potapov 1542
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 40% vs Potapov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Potapov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -1 · Potapov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.67 / Potapov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073026
Pytsko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 41 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Potapov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 43 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko6wins
AwayPotapov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko100%5 of 5
AwayPotapov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko5Potapov5n = 10split evenly
S2Pytsko7Potapov3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S3Pytsko5Potapov5n = 10split evenly
S4Pytsko7Potapov1n = 8Pytsko took 7 of 8
S5Pytsko1Potapov3n = 4Potapov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoPotapovPytsko − PotapovBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.4+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 584 vs 194 / 41255.5%47.1%324 / 584 vs 194 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.67/Potapov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 08:35I. Pytsko—911101192M. Potapov—116125113
WSep 1 · 16:35I. Pytsko—15138113M. Potapov—13111161
LAug 31 · 21:00I. Pytsko—81181182M. Potapov—117115113
WAug 22 · 14:55I. Pytsko—1111113M. Potapov—8870
WAug 22 · 24:15I. Pytsko—11811113M. Potapov—711681
WAug 14 · 20:15I. Pytsko—711711143M. Potapov—119119122
LJul 25 · 06:25I. Pytsko—913101462M. Potapov—11111212113
WJul 24 · 16:25I. Pytsko—1111113M. Potapov—9880
LJul 24 · 24:45I. Pytsko—871171M. Potapov—11116113
WJul 10 · 24:15I. Pytsko—11711113M. Potapov—911781
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
M. Potapov10
WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152LSep 4 · 02:45O. Budnikov1.731111113M. Potapov2.004880
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