Measured against the market

Most prediction numbers are unfalsifiable. Ours are not: every call is recorded before the match starts, graded when it settles, and left exactly as it stands — including the ones we get wrong.

Last 30 days: the model named the winner in 61.4% of 29,241 finished matches. On those same matches the bookmaker's own favourite won 61.3%.

That is a statistical tie with the market — and we publish it anyway. Nobody reliably out-predicts these odds; the value here is the analysis underneath, not a promise to beat the bookmaker.

Picks sent to the Pro group: 1,258 sent, 56.0% hit rate, -4.6% return at the odds picked.

That return is negative, and we publish it anyway. An accuracy edge this size does not cover a bookmaker margin of roughly 5–7% — which is why we sell analysis for your own decisions, not a profit.

Figures refresh every 30 minutes. Judge the 30- and 90-day windows; shorter ones are noise. Past results do not indicate future results. Information only, not betting advice. 18+, where betting is legal for you.