TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073587
Played Sep 4Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191315118116
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 104 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 53–74 Ivan Pytsko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 53 of their 127 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-74 in 127
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 21 in 127, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1661 vs Pytsko 1567
Tebenko
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 100% vs Pytsko 40%
Tebenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 90% vs Pytsko 60%
Tebenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko +5 · Pytsko -1
Tebenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tebenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 1.91 / Pytsko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tebenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073587
Tebenko1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 130 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back13% 11 of 82
Pytsko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 41 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko8wins
AwayPytsko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko100%6 of 6
AwayPytsko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko6Pytsko4n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S2Tebenko6Pytsko4n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S3Tebenko3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Tebenko6Pytsko1n = 7Tebenko took 6 of 7
S5Tebenko4Pytsko0n = 4Tebenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoPytskoT − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.4+6.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 813 vs 322 / 58048%55.5%390 / 813 vs 322 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TebenkoTebenko 1.91/Pytsko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tebenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tebenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—11117113I. Pytsko—831171
LAug 25 · 02:30Y. Tebenko—5850I. Pytsko—1111113
WAug 5 · 11:05Y. Tebenko—1211113I. Pytsko—10490
WJul 17 · 20:15Y. Tebenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5550
WJul 15 · 11:35Y. Tebenko—111011113I. Pytsko—712581
WJul 14 · 14:35Y. Tebenko—10111011113I. Pytsko—12312452
WJul 13 · 22:30Y. Tebenko—811911113I. Pytsko—11911432
WJul 10 · 02:45Y. Tebenko—1181013113I. Pytsko—811121192
LMar 4 · 08:05Y. Tebenko—811661I. Pytsko—1191193
WMar 3 · 15:35Y. Tebenko—117914113I. Pytsko—611111272
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113LSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972LSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko2.501011781M. Khomenko1.5012911113LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113WSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162LSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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