TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079192
Played Sep 5Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119711811––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 63.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 10–26 Maksym Khomenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 10 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-26 in 36
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 16 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1673 vs Khomenko 1541
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 60% vs Khomenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 80% vs Khomenko 60%
Tebenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -1 · Khomenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tebenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 2.50 / Khomenko 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Khomenko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13079192
Tebenko2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 132 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back32% 48 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back13% 11 of 82
Khomenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko2wins
AwayKhomenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko40%2 of 5
AwayKhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tebenko4Khomenko6n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S3Tebenko4Khomenko6n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Tebenko1Khomenko5n = 6Khomenko took 5 of 6
S5Tebenko0Khomenko3n = 3Khomenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoKhomenkoT − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.5−5.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 818 vs 477 / 86948%54.9%393 / 818 vs 477 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoTebenko 2.50/Khomenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—11911892M. Khomenko—711811113
WMar 27 · 23:45Y. Tebenko—1111123M. Khomenko—57100
LFeb 15 · 03:30Y. Tebenko—1110781M. Khomenko—81211113
LJan 17 · 23:30Y. Tebenko—8550M. Khomenko—1111113
WJan 16 · 15:25Y. Tebenko—11115113M. Khomenko—961141
LOct 15 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—1595141M. Khomenko—131111163
LOct 14 · 24:30Y. Tebenko—911134102M. Khomenko—1181111123
LOct 8 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—71111752M. Khomenko—119911113
LOct 7 · 14:35Y. Tebenko—6640M. Khomenko—1111103
LOct 7 · 24:30Y. Tebenko—7750M. Khomenko—1111113
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113LSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972LSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113WSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162LSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862WSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Khomenko
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