TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089010
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511411––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 75.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 3–13 Maksym Khomenko Yurii Kolos has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1513 vs Khomenko 1676
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 40% vs Khomenko 100%
Khomenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Khomenko 80%
Khomenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -3 · Khomenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 3.25 / Khomenko 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Khomenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089010
Kolos3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Khomenko1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 42 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayKhomenko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos66.7%2 of 3
AwayKhomenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Kolos2Khomenko8n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S3Kolos3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S4Kolos0Khomenko4n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosKhomenkoKolos − KhomenkoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.336.0−9.7per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 104 vs 475 / 85946.2%55.3%48 / 104 vs 475 / 859Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKolos 3.25/Khomenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos—8540M. Khomenko—1111113
LAug 30 · 17:05Y. Kolos—1680M. Khomenko—1111113
LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos—411641M. Khomenko—11611113
LAug 10 · 09:35Y. Kolos—691171M. Khomenko—11119113
LAug 2 · 12:35Y. Kolos—8760M. Khomenko—1111113
LJun 21 · 16:05Y. Kolos—108110M. Khomenko—1211133
LJun 14 · 17:05Y. Kolos—5620M. Khomenko—1111113
WMar 9 · 12:05Y. Kolos—1211113M. Khomenko—10680
WMar 8 · 19:35Y. Kolos—116114113M. Khomenko—91171182
LFeb 16 · 12:05Y. Kolos—116791M. Khomenko—81111113
Y. Kolos10
LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 14:05Y. Kolos1.83711491O. Rodin1.8311611113LAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos2.2010860Y. Vorsuliak1.611211113
M. Khomenko10
LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113
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