TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044559
Played Aug 30Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118711––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Kolos to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Kolos at 72.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 5–1 Yurii Parahailo Yurii Parahailo has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kolos
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1529 vs Parahailo 1570
Parahailo
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Parahailo 20%
Kolos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Parahailo 50%
Parahailo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Parahailo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.22 / Parahailo 4.00
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Kolos)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13044559
Kolos1.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 18 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Parahailo4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolos5wins
AwayParahailo1wins
Kolos leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos100%4 of 4
AwayParahailon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos4Parahailo2n = 6Kolos took 4 of 6
S2Kolos5Parahailo1n = 6Kolos took 5 of 6
S3Kolos5Parahailo1n = 6Kolos took 5 of 6
S4Kolos2Parahailo1n = 3Kolos took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolosParahailoK − PBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match33.826.2+7.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 102 vs 408 / 82947.1%49.2%48 / 102 vs 408 / 829Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.22/Parahailo 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.8%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos—871171Y. Parahailo—11118113
WJul 27 · 05:05Y. Kolos—1111113Y. Parahailo—6370
WJul 26 · 12:05Y. Kolos—91111113Y. Parahailo—115761
WJul 19 · 14:05Y. Kolos—1311113Y. Parahailo—11870
WFeb 16 · 09:35Y. Kolos—11113113Y. Parahailo—591161
WFeb 15 · 14:35Y. Kolos—111123Y. Parahailo—8600
Y. Kolos10
WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 14:05Y. Kolos1.83711491O. Rodin1.8311611113
Y. Parahailo10
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo1.831111113O. Storozhenko1.837550WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990LAug 30 · 17:35Y. Parahailo2.388790O. Rodin1.531111113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113LAug 30 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.531512117113Y. Parahailo2.38171051162LAug 30 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.2251111123Y. Parahailo4.001198101LAug 30 · 02:30Y. Parahailo2.0071240D. Maltsev1.731114113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Kolos
Y. Parahailo
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.