TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13045357
Played Aug 30Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111191181210––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:35 and never touched — 77.9% is still 77.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
77.9%
77.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 77.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 63–12 Yurii Parahailo Yurii Parahailo has won 12 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:35What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-12 in 75
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 51 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1511 vs Parahailo 1600
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 40% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 50% vs Parahailo 70%
Parahailo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -2 · Parahailo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.22 / Parahailo 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Khomenko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13045357
Khomenko1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Parahailo4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko9wins
AwayParahailo1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayParahailon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko8Parahailo2n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S2Khomenko9Parahailo1n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S3Khomenko10Parahailo0n = 10Khomenko took 10 of 10
S4Khomenko2Parahailo1n = 3Khomenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoParahailoK − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.024.9+11.1per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 874 vs 406 / 82655.4%49.2%484 / 874 vs 406 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.22/Parahailo 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.3%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 22:30M. Khomenko—91111113Y. Parahailo—116541
WAug 24 · 10:35M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—7660
WAug 23 · 12:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—5670
LAug 23 · 02:00M. Khomenko—11711362Y. Parahailo—211811113
WJul 26 · 02:00M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—6880
WJul 18 · 22:30M. Khomenko—1811113Y. Parahailo—16970
WJun 1 · 05:05M. Khomenko—91111113Y. Parahailo—117681
WMay 31 · 16:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—8660
WMay 31 · 24:00M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—7350
WMay 25 · 10:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Parahailo—8950
M. Khomenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113
Y. Parahailo10
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo1.831111113O. Storozhenko1.837550WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:35Y. Parahailo2.388790O. Rodin1.531111113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113LAug 30 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.531512117113Y. Parahailo2.38171051162LAug 30 · 02:30Y. Parahailo2.0071240D. Maltsev1.731114113
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