TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044591
Played Aug 30Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 59.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 5–12 Oleksii Rodin Yurii Parahailo has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Rodin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Rodin
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1562 vs Rodin 1558
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 40% vs Rodin 60%
Rodin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 60% vs Rodin 30%
Parahailo
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo +1 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Rodin) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 2.38 / Rodin 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Rodin)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044591
Parahailo2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Rodin1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 139 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it97% 67 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo3wins
AwayRodin7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRodin leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo20%1 of 5
AwayRodin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S2Parahailo3Rodin7n = 10Rodin took 7 of 10
S3Parahailo5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S4Parahailo4Rodin4n = 8split evenly
S5Parahailo1Rodin3n = 4Rodin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoRodinP − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.540.8−5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 829 vs 167 / 27949.1%59.9%407 / 829 vs 167 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinParahailo 2.38/Rodin 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 06:05Y. Parahailo—311121272O. Rodin—1141014113
WAug 23 · 16:05Y. Parahailo—71111123O. Rodin—1134101
LAug 22 · 23:00Y. Parahailo—69111162O. Rodin—111137113
LJul 29 · 06:05Y. Parahailo—2640O. Rodin—1111113
LJul 22 · 06:05Y. Parahailo—12851142O. Rodin—1011117113
WJul 15 · 08:35Y. Parahailo—671111123O. Rodin—111189102
LJul 14 · 17:35Y. Parahailo—1282121O. Rodin—101111143
LJul 14 · 01:30Y. Parahailo—126081O. Rodin—101111113
WJul 8 · 09:35Y. Parahailo—1111113O. Rodin—6890
LJul 7 · 17:35Y. Parahailo—1171241O. Rodin—71114113
Y. Parahailo10
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo1.831111113O. Storozhenko1.837550WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113LAug 30 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.531512117113Y. Parahailo2.38171051162LAug 30 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.2251111123Y. Parahailo4.001198101LAug 30 · 02:30Y. Parahailo2.0071240D. Maltsev1.731114113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161
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