TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067540
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116611116––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 1–0 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Romanenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1562 vs Romanenko 1659
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 20% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin -1 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 2.10 / Romanenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Romanenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067540
Rodin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 26 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Romanenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 135 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRodin1wins
AwayRomanenko0wins
Rodin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRodinRomanenkoRodin − RomanenkoBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.029.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 286 vs 279 / 52359.4%53.4%170 / 286 vs 279 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoRodin 2.10/Romanenko 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.6%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin—11116113A. Romanenko—661161
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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