TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072983
Played Sep 4Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119811117––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 60.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 2–4 Andrii Romanenko Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Romanenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Romanenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1597 vs Romanenko 1692
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 40% vs Romanenko 80%
Romanenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 50% vs Romanenko 70%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak -1 · Romanenko +4
Romanenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 2.38 / Romanenko 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Romanenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072983
Vorsuliak2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 104 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Romanenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 178 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it80% 136 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVorsuliak2wins
AwayRomanenko4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderRomanenko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayRomanenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak0Romanenko6n = 6Romanenko took 6 of 6
S2Vorsuliak4Romanenko2n = 6Vorsuliak took 4 of 6
S3Vorsuliak2Romanenko4n = 6Romanenko took 4 of 6
S4Vorsuliak1Romanenko4n = 5Romanenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVorsuliakRomanenkoV − RBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match37.740.5−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 889 vs 283 / 52750.3%53.7%447 / 889 vs 283 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoVorsuliak 2.38/Romanenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—911118113A. Romanenko—11671192
LSep 2 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak—8122101A. Romanenko—111011123
LMar 6 · 07:35Y. Vorsuliak—9118101A. Romanenko—11911123
LMar 5 · 14:35Y. Vorsuliak—51011101A. Romanenko—11126123
WMar 5 · 24:30Y. Vorsuliak—911911113A. Romanenko—11311852
LFeb 27 · 09:35Y. Vorsuliak—5680A. Romanenko—1111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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