TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072950
Played Sep 4Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11714161161311––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 89 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 66.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 60–40 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 40 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-40 in 100
Loboda
Correct
gap of 20 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1661 vs Vorsuliak 1607
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Vorsuliak 60%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 30% vs Vorsuliak 50%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.44 / Vorsuliak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13072950
Loboda1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it89% 93 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it70% 135 of 193
Vorsuliak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 104 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda7wins
AwayVorsuliak3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwayVorsuliak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Vorsuliak4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda4Vorsuliak6n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S3Loboda6Vorsuliak4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Loboda4Vorsuliak2n = 6Loboda took 4 of 6
S5Loboda3Vorsuliak1n = 4Loboda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaVorsuliakL − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.5+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 938 vs 447 / 88851.7%50.3%485 / 938 vs 447 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.44/Vorsuliak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 20:45M. Loboda—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—5290
WAug 10 · 24:15M. Loboda—711117113Y. Vorsuliak—11781152
WJul 31 · 05:05M. Loboda—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—1770
WJul 30 · 12:35M. Loboda—11711113Y. Vorsuliak—611781
LJul 29 · 23:00M. Loboda—7880Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LJul 28 · 02:15M. Loboda—12811792Y. Vorsuliak—1011611113
LJul 24 · 05:05M. Loboda—59120Y. Vorsuliak—1111143
WJul 23 · 12:35M. Loboda—1111311113Y. Vorsuliak—71311532
WJul 10 · 04:35M. Loboda—13511153Y. Vorsuliak—11119131
WJul 9 · 12:35M. Loboda—5111011143Y. Vorsuliak—118126122
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113
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