TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084219
Played Sep 6Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 59.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 20–23 Myroslav Loboda Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-23 in 43
Loboda
Correct
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1509 vs Loboda 1636
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 0% vs Loboda 40%
Loboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 20% vs Loboda 40%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -5 · Loboda +1
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.10 / Loboda 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084219
Shchegelskyi2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Loboda1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 171 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it88% 95 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it70% 138 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi5wins
AwayLoboda5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi100%3 of 3
AwayLoboda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Shchegelskyi6Loboda4n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi6Loboda3n = 9Shchegelskyi took 6 of 9
S5Shchegelskyi2Loboda3n = 5Loboda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiLobodaS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.644.5−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 899 vs 483 / 93452.7%51.7%474 / 899 vs 483 / 934Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaShchegelskyi 2.10/Loboda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:05D. Shchegelskyi—591311113M. Loboda—111111892
WSep 3 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi—12811113M. Loboda—1011371
LSep 2 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi—411146102M. Loboda—1191211123
LAug 28 · 09:35D. Shchegelskyi—911391M. Loboda—11411113
WAug 27 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi—11611113M. Loboda—911671
LAug 26 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi—61180M. Loboda—1113113
WAug 23 · 22:15D. Shchegelskyi—5141210123M. Loboda—11121012102
WAug 21 · 09:35D. Shchegelskyi—11117133M. Loboda—7911111
LAug 20 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi—79121182M. Loboda—1111106113
LAug 16 · 22:45D. Shchegelskyi—311121972M. Loboda—1191417113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
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