TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084054
Played Sep 6Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118611113811811
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 66.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 42–66 Myroslav Loboda Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 42 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-66 in 108
Loboda
Correct
gap of 24 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1608 vs Loboda 1658
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Loboda 40%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Loboda 40%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak +1 · Loboda -3
Loboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 2.63 / Loboda 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084054
Vorsuliak2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Loboda1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 171 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it88% 95 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it70% 138 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak2wins
AwayLoboda8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak33.3%1 of 3
AwayLoboda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Vorsuliak3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S3Vorsuliak2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S4Vorsuliak3Loboda3n = 6split evenly
S5Vorsuliak1Loboda2n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakLobodaV − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.438.8−7.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 895 vs 484 / 93550.4%51.8%451 / 895 vs 484 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaVorsuliak 2.63/Loboda 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—11611882M. Loboda—811311113
LSep 4 · 09:35Y. Vorsuliak—7166111M. Loboda—111411133
LSep 3 · 16:05Y. Vorsuliak—41030M. Loboda—1112113
WSep 3 · 24:00Y. Vorsuliak—811811113M. Loboda—11811672
LAug 28 · 05:05Y. Vorsuliak—8640M. Loboda—1111113
WAug 27 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak—11311113M. Loboda—611571
LAug 26 · 20:30Y. Vorsuliak—912571M. Loboda—111011113
LAug 13 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak—9910M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 10 · 20:45Y. Vorsuliak—5290M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 10 · 24:15Y. Vorsuliak—11781152M. Loboda—711117113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
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