TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072952
Played Sep 4Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131513111210311911
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 108 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 66.5%
108 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 13–30 Viktor Slozka Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 13 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-30 in 43
Slozka
Correct
gap of 17 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1612 vs Slozka 1710
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak +1 · Slozka +3
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 2.63 / Slozka 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Slozka)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072952
Vorsuliak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Slozka1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 96 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it73% 66 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak2wins
AwaySlozka8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak50%2 of 4
AwaySlozka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Vorsuliak3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S3Vorsuliak5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorsuliak2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S5Vorsuliak0Slozka4n = 4Slozka took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakSlozkaV − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.4−6.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 890 vs 380 / 84350.3%45.1%448 / 890 vs 380 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaVorsuliak 2.63/Slozka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak—131312392V. Slozka—15111011113
LSep 3 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak—46100V. Slozka—1111123
LAug 28 · 08:05Y. Vorsuliak—61030V. Slozka—1112113
LAug 27 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak—58110V. Slozka—1111133
WAug 27 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak—11117113V. Slozka—971191
WJul 31 · 08:05Y. Vorsuliak—1111113V. Slozka—4850
LJul 30 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak—39120V. Slozka—1111143
LJul 29 · 20:30Y. Vorsuliak—13711822V. Slozka—1111711113
LJul 28 · 24:45Y. Vorsuliak—58111132V. Slozka—111188113
LJul 24 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak—11611672V. Slozka—711411113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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