TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078917
Played Sep 6Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111210911––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 27–25 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-25 in 52
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1655 vs Slozka 1696
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 30% vs Slozka 70%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -2 · Slozka +3
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konkulovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.83 / Slozka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078917
Konkulovskyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Slozka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi3wins
AwaySlozka7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Konkulovskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Konkulovskyi3Slozka5n = 8Slozka took 5 of 8
S5Konkulovskyi1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiSlozkaK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.842.4−5.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 674 vs 378 / 84049.7%45%335 / 674 vs 378 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKonkulovskyi 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—1115113V. Slozka—61370
LJul 19 · 23:45R. Konkulovskyi—661181V. Slozka—11119113
LJul 13 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—612751V. Slozka—111011113
WJun 23 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi—1491210133V. Slozka—12111012112
LJun 15 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—1181071V. Slozka—71112113
LJun 14 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi—61110101V. Slozka—11712123
WJun 8 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi—61311123V. Slozka—11119101
LJun 2 · 02:45R. Konkulovskyi—4670V. Slozka—1111113
LJun 1 · 02:45R. Konkulovskyi—56111182V. Slozka—111198113
LMay 31 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—81141152V. Slozka—118119113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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