TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006836
Played Aug 25Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151176111214811
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 35–41 Ihor Sukovatyi Roman Konkulovskyi has won 35 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-41 in 76
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1698 vs Sukovatyi 1702
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Sukovatyi 80%
Sukovatyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -1 · Sukovatyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.00 / Sukovatyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13006836
Konkulovskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 132 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Sukovatyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 179 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it81% 137 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi2wins
AwaySukovatyi8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi33.3%2 of 6
AwaySukovatyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Sukovatyi4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi8Sukovatyi2n = 10Konkulovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi1Sukovatyi8n = 9Sukovatyi took 8 of 9
S5Konkulovskyi1Sukovatyi4n = 5Sukovatyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiSukovatyiK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.344.4−5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 671 vs 248 / 44849.9%55.4%335 / 671 vs 248 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiKonkulovskyi 2.00/Sukovatyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—1191061I. Sukovatyi—61112113
WAug 18 · 20:00R. Konkulovskyi—1111113I. Sukovatyi—6990
LAug 15 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi—111293112I. Sukovatyi—9101111133
LAug 13 · 05:35R. Konkulovskyi—11111081I. Sukovatyi—13712113
WAug 12 · 15:35R. Konkulovskyi—117117113I. Sukovatyi—91141162
LAug 12 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi—511441I. Sukovatyi—11911113
LAug 9 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi—11117682I. Sukovatyi—571111113
LAug 6 · 08:05R. Konkulovskyi—15134952I. Sukovatyi—13111111113
LAug 5 · 15:35R. Konkulovskyi—71361152I. Sukovatyi—1111119113
LAug 5 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi—714871I. Sukovatyi—111211113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191
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