TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079179
Played Sep 6Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 59.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 8–13 Vitalii Krokhmal Roman Konkulovskyi has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1658 vs Krokhmal 1613
Konkulovskyi
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 30% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -3 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.25 / Krokhmal 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Krokhmal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079179
Konkulovskyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 93
Krokhmal1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi3wins
AwayKrokhmal7wins
Krokhmal leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayKrokhmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi1Krokhmal9n = 10Krokhmal took 9 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Konkulovskyi3Krokhmal4n = 7Krokhmal took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalKonkulovskyi − KrokhmalBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.436.9−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 676 vs 154 / 33749.7%45.7%336 / 676 vs 154 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalKonkulovskyi 2.25/Krokhmal 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi—8290V. Krokhmal—1111113
LAug 22 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—1191051V. Krokhmal—61112113
LAug 18 · 21:30R. Konkulovskyi—471191V. Krokhmal—11119113
LAug 17 · 01:45R. Konkulovskyi—4980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WAug 16 · 01:43R. Konkulovskyi—11711123V. Krokhmal—8116101
WAug 15 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi—11411113V. Krokhmal—811691
LAug 13 · 08:05R. Konkulovskyi—115611V. Krokhmal—51111113
LAug 12 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi—79110V. Krokhmal—1111133
WAug 11 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—71115113V. Krokhmal—1131361
LAug 8 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—6612121V. Krokhmal—111110143
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520WAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113
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