TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078881
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711511116411––
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 56.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 67–36 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 36 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-36 in 103
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 31 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1664 vs Chaikovskyi 1753
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 20% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 30% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -1 · Chaikovskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Konkulovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.61 / Chaikovskyi 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13078881
Konkulovskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 90 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 64 of 81
Chaikovskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back27% 53 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi6wins
AwayChaikovskyi4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayChaikovskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Chaikovskyi4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Konkulovskyi3Chaikovskyi2n = 5Konkulovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiK − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.7−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 673 vs 375 / 73549.8%51%335 / 673 vs 375 / 735Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiKonkulovskyi 1.61/Chaikovskyi 2.20
Miss
What we said
54%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—711118113B. Chaikovskyi—11831142
LAug 12 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi—6660B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
WAug 12 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi—141210123B. Chaikovskyi—121012101
WAug 8 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi—11116113B. Chaikovskyi—681161
WAug 6 · 05:35R. Konkulovskyi—16119113B. Chaikovskyi—1481191
LAug 5 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—5960B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
WAug 4 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi—1191111113B. Chaikovskyi—71161392
LAug 3 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi—11271152B. Chaikovskyi—611116113
WJul 30 · 10:35R. Konkulovskyi—211118113B. Chaikovskyi—11981182
LJul 29 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—11611152B. Chaikovskyi—711911113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113LAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
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