TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078876
Played Sep 6Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11891111710121210
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 18–10 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Chaikovskyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1778 vs Slozka 1719
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 100% vs Slozka 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 70% vs Slozka 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +5 · Slozka +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaikovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.83 / Slozka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078876
Chaikovskyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Slozka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi8wins
AwaySlozka2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi80%4 of 5
AwaySlozka20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi8Slozka2n = 10Chaikovskyi took 8 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi5Slozka2n = 7Chaikovskyi took 5 of 7
S5Chaikovskyi3Slozka0n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiSlozkaC − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.7+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 738 vs 380 / 84251.2%45.1%378 / 738 vs 380 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi—811128113V. Slozka—117101192
WJul 16 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi—1114133V. Slozka—712110
WJul 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi—11811133V. Slozka—6119111
LJul 10 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi—1146101V. Slozka—81111123
WJul 6 · 13:05B. Chaikovskyi—11612113V. Slozka—8111061
WJul 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi—51114113V. Slozka—1161281
WJul 4 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi—1021113113V. Slozka—121171162
WJul 2 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111123V. Slozka—77100
LJul 1 · 22:30B. Chaikovskyi—10780V. Slozka—1211113
WJul 1 · 03:00B. Chaikovskyi—641111113V. Slozka—11116782
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782
V. Slozka10
WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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