TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078902
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Pohonov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
15131012511711––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Pohonov above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Pohonov 13–14 Viktor Slozka Oleksandr Pohonov has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pohonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohonov 1742 vs Slozka 1706
Pohonov
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohonov 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohonov 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohonov -1 · Slozka +4
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohonov 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pohonov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078902
Pohonov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 192 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it78% 142 of 183
Slozka2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 135 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back27% 37 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohonov6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohonov80%4 of 5
AwaySlozka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohonov5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S2Pohonov5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pohonov6Slozka4n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Pohonov4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5Pohonov4Slozka3n = 7Pohonov took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohonovSlozkaP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.0+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohonovSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 496 vs 379 / 84151.8%45.1%257 / 496 vs 379 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovPohonov 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 03:15O. Pohonov—511117113V. Slozka—11341182
WAug 23 · 20:15O. Pohonov—711178113V. Slozka—117151172
LJul 27 · 21:15O. Pohonov—127111152V. Slozka—141186113
LJul 27 · 01:45O. Pohonov—1111104112V. Slozka—781211133
LJul 12 · 22:15O. Pohonov—611111132V. Slozka—111399113
WJul 2 · 13:05O. Pohonov—111189113V. Slozka—67111192
WJul 1 · 23:30O. Pohonov—1111113V. Slozka—9790
WJun 28 · 01:45O. Pohonov—11611113V. Slozka—711471
WJun 25 · 06:35O. Pohonov—117611123V. Slozka—711118102
LJun 24 · 13:35O. Pohonov—8840V. Slozka—1111113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191WSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.83871291O. Pohonov1.83111110113
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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