TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067692
Played Sep 3Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1172111210113––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 67 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 66.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 13–4 Oleksandr Pohonov Oleksandr Pohonov has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1766 vs Pohonov 1724
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Pohonov 60%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Pohonov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +2 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.44 / Pohonov 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067692
Kuzmenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Pohonov2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 48 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko9wins
AwayPohonov1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%6 of 6
AwayPohonov25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko6Pohonov4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko8Pohonov2n = 10Kuzmenko took 8 of 10
S3Kuzmenko8Pohonov2n = 10Kuzmenko took 8 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Pohonov2n = 6Kuzmenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoPohonovK − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.329.9+8.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 569 vs 254 / 49149.4%51.7%281 / 569 vs 254 / 491Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.44/Pohonov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko—11212113O. Pohonov—7111031
WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko—1111113O. Pohonov—7670
LAug 30 · 24:45G. Kuzmenko—811981O. Pohonov—11811113
WAug 27 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113O. Pohonov—5960
WAug 26 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—61111113O. Pohonov—112531
WAug 21 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113O. Pohonov—9660
WAug 20 · 12:35G. Kuzmenko—811119113O. Pohonov—11791192
WAug 14 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113O. Pohonov—5670
WAug 13 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—12711113O. Pohonov—1011391
WAug 12 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko—811811113O. Pohonov—11811982
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
O. Pohonov10
WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670WAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
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