TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066704
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1168117111012––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 68.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 31–12 Gregory Kuzmenko Gregory Kuzmenko has won 12 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Maksymiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-12 in 43
Maksymiv
Wrong
gap of 19 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1730 vs Kuzmenko 1795
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 40% vs Kuzmenko 60%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 40% vs Kuzmenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv +1 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Maksymiv) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.36 / Kuzmenko 3.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Maksymiv)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13066704
Maksymiv1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 158
Kuzmenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 61 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv8wins
AwayKuzmenko2wins
Maksymiv leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv75%6 of 8
AwayKuzmenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv8Kuzmenko2n = 10Maksymiv took 8 of 10
S2Maksymiv7Kuzmenko3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S3Maksymiv6Kuzmenko4n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S4Maksymiv5Kuzmenko2n = 7Maksymiv took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivKuzmenkoM − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.229.3+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 750 vs 275 / 56160.3%49%452 / 750 vs 275 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.36/Kuzmenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.6%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv—1187101G. Kuzmenko—61111123
WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv—41111113G. Kuzmenko—113641
WApr 1 · 18:35S. Maksymiv—11115113G. Kuzmenko—741131
WApr 1 · 01:00S. Maksymiv—1111113G. Kuzmenko—5450
LMar 5 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—1155111G. Kuzmenko—91111133
WMar 4 · 15:05S. Maksymiv—11119113G. Kuzmenko—781191
WMar 4 · 03:30S. Maksymiv—1111113G. Kuzmenko—9460
WFeb 26 · 05:35S. Maksymiv—81111113G. Kuzmenko—119891
WFeb 25 · 17:35S. Maksymiv—111011153G. Kuzmenko—8128131
WFeb 25 · 01:00S. Maksymiv—1111113G. Kuzmenko—3560
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 12:35S. Maksymiv1.36111111113O. Pohonov3.00651381WSep 2 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.20119951S. Maksymiv1.6131111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
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