TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066659
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012116117––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 55.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 29–28 Ihor Sukovatyi Ihor Sukovatyi has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-28 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1722 vs Sukovatyi 1684
Maksymiv
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 20% vs Sukovatyi 60%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 40% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv -1 · Sukovatyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.67 / Sukovatyi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066659
Maksymiv1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 156 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it75% 115 of 153
Sukovatyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv5wins
AwaySukovatyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv100%4 of 4
AwaySukovatyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Maksymiv6Sukovatyi4n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S3Maksymiv4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Maksymiv3Sukovatyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivSukovatyiM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.734.1−1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 758 vs 264 / 48160.2%54.9%456 / 758 vs 264 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.67/Sukovatyi 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 14:35S. Maksymiv—811531I. Sukovatyi—11311113
WAug 19 · 24:00S. Maksymiv—11511113I. Sukovatyi—811661
WAug 13 · 07:35S. Maksymiv—881116113I. Sukovatyi—111171472
LAug 12 · 19:05S. Maksymiv—10280I. Sukovatyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 23:00S. Maksymiv—11116113I. Sukovatyi—561171
WJul 30 · 10:05S. Maksymiv—1211113I. Sukovatyi—10980
LJul 29 · 13:35S. Maksymiv—71060I. Sukovatyi—1112113
LJul 28 · 23:00S. Maksymiv—611841I. Sukovatyi—11311113
WJul 23 · 05:05S. Maksymiv—1111113I. Sukovatyi—8750
LJul 22 · 12:35S. Maksymiv—1211071I. Sukovatyi—14811113
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 12:35S. Maksymiv1.36111111113O. Pohonov3.00651381WSep 2 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.20119951S. Maksymiv1.6131111113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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