TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060716
Played Sep 2Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911311113511––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 64 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 61.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 3–10 Ihor Sukovatyi Gregory Kuzmenko has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1739 vs Sukovatyi 1677
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +2 · Sukovatyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.50 / Sukovatyi 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060716
Kuzmenko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 57 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Sukovatyi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 177 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko3wins
AwaySukovatyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko33.3%1 of 3
AwaySukovatyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Sukovatyi2n = 6Kuzmenko took 4 of 6
S5Kuzmenko1Sukovatyi2n = 3Sukovatyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.438.6−6.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 570 vs 262 / 47849%54.8%279 / 570 vs 262 / 478Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiKuzmenko 2.50/Sukovatyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko—1111113I. Sukovatyi—9430
WAug 26 · 12:35G. Kuzmenko—61111113I. Sukovatyi—119831
WAug 22 · 20:15G. Kuzmenko—882011113I. Sukovatyi—111118992
LJun 10 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko—113711102I. Sukovatyi—611118123
LMar 29 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko—114591I. Sukovatyi—91111113
LMar 11 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—961141I. Sukovatyi—11118113
LMar 11 · 03:30G. Kuzmenko—4850I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LMar 5 · 07:35G. Kuzmenko—7380I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LMar 4 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—51171172I. Sukovatyi—119119113
LMar 4 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko—4850I. Sukovatyi—1111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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