TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066775
Played Sep 3Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 63.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 3–12 Ihor Sukovatyi Gregory Kuzmenko has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1786 vs Sukovatyi 1662
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 70% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Kuzmenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +4 · Sukovatyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.25 / Sukovatyi 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13066775
Kuzmenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 58 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Sukovatyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 178 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it96% 97 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it80% 136 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko3wins
AwaySukovatyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko33.3%1 of 3
AwaySukovatyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S3Kuzmenko5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzmenko3Sukovatyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.437.1−6.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 570 vs 264 / 48349.5%54.7%282 / 570 vs 264 / 483Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiKuzmenko 2.25/Sukovatyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—931151I. Sukovatyi—11113113
LAug 29 · 23:15G. Kuzmenko—4240I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 27 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko—1111113I. Sukovatyi—9430
WAug 26 · 12:35G. Kuzmenko—61111113I. Sukovatyi—119831
WAug 22 · 20:15G. Kuzmenko—882011113I. Sukovatyi—111118992
LJun 10 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko—113711102I. Sukovatyi—611118123
LMar 29 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko—114591I. Sukovatyi—91111113
LMar 11 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—961141I. Sukovatyi—11118113
LMar 11 · 03:30G. Kuzmenko—4850I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LMar 5 · 07:35G. Kuzmenko—7380I. Sukovatyi—1111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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