TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066879
Played Sep 3Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115112––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 45 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 16–18 Vitalii Krokhmal Gregory Kuzmenko has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1733 vs Krokhmal 1657
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066879
Kuzmenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKrokhmal4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%3 of 3
AwayKrokhmal57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko7Krokhmal3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Krokhmal4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko5Krokhmal1n = 6Kuzmenko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalKuzmenko − KrokhmalBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.5+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 571 vs 152 / 32848.9%46.3%279 / 571 vs 152 / 328Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—51111223V. Krokhmal—1188201
WAug 27 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113V. Krokhmal—9840
WAug 26 · 17:44G. Kuzmenko—171111113V. Krokhmal—196451
LAug 26 · 13:35G. Kuzmenko—1211791V. Krokhmal—14711113
LAug 22 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko—31090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LAug 21 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—581111102V. Krokhmal—111176123
WAug 20 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—91111113V. Krokhmal—118891
WJul 24 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—111117113V. Krokhmal—781981
LJul 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—8590V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 22 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko—1411113V. Krokhmal—12880
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201
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