TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066653
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111210119––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 1–6 Vitalii Krokhmal Serhii Maksymiv has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1732 vs Krokhmal 1651
Maksymiv
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Maksymiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Maksymiv
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv +1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maksymiv) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.73 / Krokhmal 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13066653
Maksymiv1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 156 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it75% 115 of 153
Krokhmal2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 106 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaksymiv1wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv25%1 of 4
AwayKrokhmal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv4Krokhmal3n = 7Maksymiv took 4 of 7
S2Maksymiv2Krokhmal5n = 7Krokhmal took 5 of 7
S3Maksymiv1Krokhmal6n = 7Krokhmal took 6 of 7
S4Maksymiv2Krokhmal2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMaksymivKrokhmalM − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.639.0−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 759 vs 153 / 33160.2%46.2%457 / 759 vs 153 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.73/Krokhmal 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv—91171172V. Krokhmal—116117113
LSep 2 · 01:00S. Maksymiv—1112851V. Krokhmal—81411113
LAug 18 · 20:30S. Maksymiv—9560V. Krokhmal—1111113
WAug 13 · 06:05S. Maksymiv—1111123V. Krokhmal—86100
LAug 12 · 14:05S. Maksymiv—11781162V. Krokhmal—611118113
LAug 11 · 21:30S. Maksymiv—116771V. Krokhmal—61111113
LApr 15 · 16:05S. Maksymiv—811140V. Krokhmal—1113163
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 12:35S. Maksymiv1.36111111113O. Pohonov3.00651381WSep 2 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.20119951S. Maksymiv1.6131111113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520WSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113
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