TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055459
Played Sep 2Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113911911511––
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 59.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 34–46 Serhii Maksymiv Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 34 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-46 in 80
Maksymiv
Correct
gap of 12 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1744 vs Maksymiv 1721
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 60% vs Maksymiv 40%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 60% vs Maksymiv 40%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +2 · Maksymiv -3
Maksymiv
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 2.20 / Maksymiv 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055459
Chaikovskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 160 of 363
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 108
Maksymiv1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 154 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it76% 113 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi4wins
AwayMaksymiv6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymiv leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMaksymiv60%6 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi0Maksymiv10n = 10Maksymiv took 10 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi6Maksymiv4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi6Maksymiv4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi4Maksymiv3n = 7Chaikovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Chaikovskyi1Maksymiv2n = 3Maksymiv took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiMaksymivC − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match35.139.4−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 723 vs 452 / 75050.9%60.3%368 / 723 vs 452 / 750Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivChaikovskyi 2.20/Maksymiv 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi—5240S. Maksymiv—1111113
WAug 19 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi—81113133S. Maksymiv—11811111
LAug 19 · 01:00B. Chaikovskyi—61111562S. Maksymiv—116611113
WAug 13 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi—61111123S. Maksymiv—1186101
LAug 12 · 15:05B. Chaikovskyi—7670S. Maksymiv—1111113
WAug 11 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi—81111113S. Maksymiv—117771
LJul 30 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi—9111191S. Maksymiv—11136113
LJul 29 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi—8160S. Maksymiv—1111113
LJul 29 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi—61611772S. Maksymiv—1114711113
WJul 23 · 09:35B. Chaikovskyi—811914113S. Maksymiv—116111272
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 12:35S. Maksymiv1.36111111113O. Pohonov3.00651381
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