TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066813
Played Sep 3Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611411––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 56 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 30–41 Ihor Sukovatyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 30 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-41 in 71
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 11 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1771 vs Sukovatyi 1683
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 70% vs Sukovatyi 50%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +1 · Sukovatyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 2.00 / Sukovatyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13066813
Chaikovskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 159 of 361
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 108
Sukovatyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 177 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi6wins
AwaySukovatyi4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi100%5 of 5
AwaySukovatyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi1n = 5Chaikovskyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.432.5−0.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 729 vs 263 / 47951%54.9%372 / 729 vs 263 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiChaikovskyi 2.00/Sukovatyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi—11149113I. Sukovatyi—9121191
WSep 2 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi—111168113I. Sukovatyi—99111152
LAug 30 · 24:15B. Chaikovskyi—4440I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 27 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi—11511123I. Sukovatyi—4113101
LAug 22 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi—7960I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111113I. Sukovatyi—4460
WAug 19 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi—11811113I. Sukovatyi—511481
LAug 18 · 22:00B. Chaikovskyi—51170I. Sukovatyi—1113113
LAug 16 · 24:15B. Chaikovskyi—7860I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 13 · 09:35B. Chaikovskyi—61113113I. Sukovatyi—1151181
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123WSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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