TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060850
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Pohonov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711611115116116
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Pohonov above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 63.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Pohonov 43–21 Ihor Sukovatyi Ihor Sukovatyi has won 21 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-21 in 64
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 22 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohonov 1707 vs Sukovatyi 1687
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohonov 20% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohonov 40% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohonov -3 · Sukovatyi +1
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pohonov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohonov 1.44 / Sukovatyi 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13060850
Pohonov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 192 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it78% 143 of 184
Sukovatyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 53 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohonov9wins
AwaySukovatyi1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohonov87.5%7 of 8
AwaySukovatyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohonov8Sukovatyi2n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S2Pohonov8Sukovatyi2n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S3Pohonov7Sukovatyi3n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S4Pohonov4Sukovatyi2n = 6Pohonov took 4 of 6
S5Pohonov2Sukovatyi1n = 3Pohonov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohonovSukovatyiP − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.729.5+11.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohonovSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 486 vs 262 / 47751.7%54.9%251 / 486 vs 262 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovPohonov 1.44/Sukovatyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 23:30O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—5630
WAug 30 · 21:15O. Pohonov—101111173I. Sukovatyi—1246151
WAug 29 · 22:15O. Pohonov—1311113I. Sukovatyi—11750
WAug 27 · 11:35O. Pohonov—11115113I. Sukovatyi—471161
WAug 26 · 17:13O. Pohonov—119611113I. Sukovatyi—71111632
WAug 26 · 16:05O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—5650
WAug 25 · 23:30O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—3930
WAug 19 · 18:35O. Pohonov—71111113I. Sukovatyi—115721
LJul 29 · 17:35O. Pohonov—11117992I. Sukovatyi—771111113
WJul 29 · 03:00O. Pohonov—1210115133I. Sukovatyi—1012811112
O. Pohonov10
WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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