TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067039
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Krokhmal
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141155111210––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 69 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Krokhmal 8–15 Oleksandr Pohonov Vitalii Krokhmal has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pohonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Pohonov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krokhmal 1642 vs Pohonov 1736
Pohonov
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krokhmal 20% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krokhmal 20% vs Pohonov 50%
Pohonov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krokhmal -3 · Pohonov +1
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrokhmal 1.91 / Pohonov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pohonov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067039
Krokhmal1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 106 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Pohonov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 193 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it78% 143 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrokhmal3wins
AwayPohonov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrokhmal50%2 of 4
AwayPohonov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krokhmal4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S2Krokhmal4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S3Krokhmal7Pohonov3n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S4Krokhmal4Pohonov5n = 9Pohonov took 5 of 9
S5Krokhmal0Pohonov3n = 3Pohonov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokhmalPohonovK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.9−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokhmalPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 332 vs 255 / 49246.1%51.8%153 / 332 vs 255 / 492Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovKrokhmal 1.91/Pohonov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal—871291O. Pohonov—111110113
LSep 2 · 03:00V. Krokhmal—591291O. Pohonov—111110113
LAug 27 · 05:05V. Krokhmal—661171O. Pohonov—11117113
WAug 26 · 12:05V. Krokhmal—121111113O. Pohonov—148951
LAug 26 · 01:30V. Krokhmal—119871O. Pohonov—71111113
LAug 21 · 10:05V. Krokhmal—11911472O. Pohonov—911811113
WAug 20 · 17:14V. Krokhmal—1111113O. Pohonov—7880
LAug 20 · 16:05V. Krokhmal—91271162O. Pohonov—1110116113
LAug 17 · 03:15V. Krokhmal—811101382O. Pohonov—1171211113
WJul 27 · 22:15V. Krokhmal—11611113O. Pohonov—811771
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.83871291O. Pohonov1.83111110113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191WSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.83871291O. Pohonov1.83111110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.