TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078924
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitalii Krokhmal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117118511711411
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 86 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Krokhmal 24–25 Viktor Slozka Vitalii Krokhmal has won 24 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-25 in 49
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krokhmal 1648 vs Slozka 1686
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krokhmal 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krokhmal 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krokhmal -3 · Slozka +2
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrokhmal 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krokhmal)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078924
Krokhmal1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Slozka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 135 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back27% 37 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrokhmal5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrokhmal100%5 of 5
AwaySlozka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krokhmal5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S2Krokhmal6Slozka4n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Krokhmal7Slozka3n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S4Krokhmal1Slozka4n = 5Slozka took 4 of 5
S5Krokhmal1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokhmalSlozkaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.9−1.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokhmalSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 334 vs 377 / 83946.1%44.9%154 / 334 vs 377 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalKrokhmal 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 22:00V. Krokhmal—712119102V. Slozka—1110911123
WJul 31 · 05:35V. Krokhmal—1112113V. Slozka—81090
WJul 30 · 14:05V. Krokhmal—11117113V. Slozka—871181
LJul 29 · 22:30V. Krokhmal—1111114102V. Slozka—137911123
WJul 28 · 02:45V. Krokhmal—1111113V. Slozka—7980
LJul 24 · 06:35V. Krokhmal—7811131V. Slozka—11118153
WJul 23 · 14:05V. Krokhmal—1111113V. Slozka—9890
LJul 23 · 03:00V. Krokhmal—10750V. Slozka—1211113
LJul 20 · 03:15V. Krokhmal—41050V. Slozka—1112113
WJul 16 · 19:05V. Krokhmal—129136113V. Slozka—1011111172
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.83871291O. Pohonov1.83111110113
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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