TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072974
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101114111171012
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 89 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 68.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 5–11 Viktor Slozka Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Slozka
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1582 vs Slozka 1668
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 50% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -2 · Slozka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.63 / Slozka 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072974
Shchegelskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back25% 24 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Slozka1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 94 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it72% 65 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi3wins
AwaySlozka7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi3Slozka5n = 8Slozka took 5 of 8
S5Shchegelskyi3Slozka2n = 5Shchegelskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaShchegelskyi − SlozkaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.8−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 894 vs 375 / 83853%44.8%474 / 894 vs 375 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaShchegelskyi 2.63/Slozka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi—111268113V. Slozka—910111192
LAug 28 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—8117101V. Slozka—11511123
LAug 27 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—71181172V. Slozka—118119113
LAug 26 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi—751361V. Slozka—111111113
LJun 28 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi—75111172V. Slozka—111188113
WJun 18 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—1011115113V. Slozka—12671142
LMay 19 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi—891191V. Slozka—11117113
WApr 3 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi—116811133V. Slozka—911118112
LApr 2 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi—3590V. Slozka—1111113
LApr 1 · 22:00D. Shchegelskyi—8530V. Slozka—1111113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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