TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072870
Played Sep 4Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117511811––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 32–36 Viktor Slozka Iurii Hrekh has won 32 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:30What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-36 in 68
Slozka
Correct
gap of 4 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1660 vs Slozka 1686
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +2 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13072870
Hrekh1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 168 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it96% 93 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it78% 130 of 167
Slozka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 134 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back27% 37 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh71.4%5 of 7
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Slozka3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh6Slozka4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S4Hrekh1Slozka5n = 6Slozka took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhSlozkaH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.7−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 498 vs 376 / 83951.4%44.8%256 / 498 vs 376 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh—811581V. Slozka—11711113
WSep 2 · 21:30I. Hrekh—111158113V. Slozka—69111152
WAug 30 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11138113V. Slozka—7111181
WAug 28 · 09:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—9980
LAug 27 · 15:05I. Hrekh—11950V. Slozka—1311113
LAug 26 · 23:00I. Hrekh—71390V. Slozka—1115113
LAug 23 · 22:45I. Hrekh—117761V. Slozka—71111113
LJul 31 · 09:05I. Hrekh—127471V. Slozka—101111113
WJul 30 · 15:05I. Hrekh—1211113V. Slozka—10870
WJul 30 · 01:28I. Hrekh—1511129113V. Slozka—135141192
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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