TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067561
Played Sep 3Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210115117––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 62.4%
74 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 37–50 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 37 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-50 in 87
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 13 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1659 vs Loboda 1686
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Loboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Loboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +1 · Loboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.25 / Loboda 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067561
Hrekh2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 86 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Loboda1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 166 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it89% 92 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it70% 134 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh3wins
AwayLoboda7wins
Loboda leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh100%3 of 3
AwayLoboda100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S3Hrekh4Loboda6n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.234.1−3.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 496 vs 486 / 93951.4%51.8%255 / 496 vs 486 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.25/Loboda 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 02:15I. Hrekh—6990M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 28 · 10:35I. Hrekh—591161M. Loboda—11115113
WAug 27 · 18:05I. Hrekh—1111113M. Loboda—3790
LAug 27 · 02:00I. Hrekh—10960M. Loboda—1211113
LAug 21 · 10:35I. Hrekh—8790M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 17 · 02:15I. Hrekh—101390M. Loboda—1215113
LAug 14 · 10:35I. Hrekh—571271M. Loboda—111110113
WAug 13 · 18:05I. Hrekh—11125113M. Loboda—8101171
LAug 12 · 20:00I. Hrekh—6980M. Loboda—1111113
WAug 11 · 02:15I. Hrekh—11711113M. Loboda—711881
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113
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