TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073022
Played Sep 4Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11741113111012711
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 62.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 19–12 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Hrekh
Wrong
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1634 vs Vorsuliak 1612
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Vorsuliak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 40% vs Vorsuliak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -2 · Vorsuliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.50 / Vorsuliak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073022
Hrekh1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 169 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it78% 131 of 169
Vorsuliak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh7wins
AwayVorsuliak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh75%6 of 8
AwayVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh8Vorsuliak2n = 10Hrekh took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh6Vorsuliak4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh5Vorsuliak2n = 7Hrekh took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhVorsuliakH − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.8+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 502 vs 448 / 89051.2%50.3%257 / 502 vs 448 / 890Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.50/Vorsuliak 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh—114131072Y. Vorsuliak—7111112113
LSep 3 · 12:05I. Hrekh—118551Y. Vorsuliak—61111113
WSep 2 · 20:00I. Hrekh—13119113Y. Vorsuliak—1161171
LAug 28 · 06:05I. Hrekh—5560Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11511113Y. Vorsuliak—911251
WAug 26 · 21:30I. Hrekh—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10460
WAug 13 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11114113Y. Vorsuliak—761161
WAug 10 · 21:45I. Hrekh—13119113Y. Vorsuliak—1161191
WAug 9 · 20:15I. Hrekh—1112143Y. Vorsuliak—610120
WJul 31 · 06:05I. Hrekh—71112113Y. Vorsuliak—1181081
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111LSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113
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