TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088875
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111191311811411
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 98 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 59.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 5–9 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yurii Kolos has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorsuliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1529 vs Vorsuliak 1608
Vorsuliak
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Vorsuliak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Vorsuliak 60%
Vorsuliak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -2 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.10 / Vorsuliak 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088875
Kolos2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Vorsuliak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos3wins
AwayVorsuliak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos75%3 of 4
AwayVorsuliak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos4Vorsuliak6n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S2Kolos6Vorsuliak4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos4Vorsuliak6n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S4Kolos1Vorsuliak4n = 5Vorsuliak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosVorsuliakK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.336.9−4.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 102 vs 451 / 89547.1%50.4%48 / 102 vs 451 / 895Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKolos 2.10/Vorsuliak 1.67
Hit
What we said
59%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Kolos—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—9890
LAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos—10860Y. Vorsuliak—1211113
LJul 19 · 19:05Y. Kolos—12116732Y. Vorsuliak—1061111113
LJun 21 · 14:05Y. Kolos—9111021Y. Vorsuliak—11212113
LJun 14 · 19:05Y. Kolos—51111792Y. Vorsuliak—119911113
WJun 8 · 04:35Y. Kolos—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10580
LJun 7 · 19:05Y. Kolos—8380Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LJun 7 · 17:10Y. Kolos—6950Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LFeb 6 · 06:05Y. Kolos—491581Y. Vorsuliak—111113113
WFeb 5 · 14:35Y. Kolos—12119113Y. Vorsuliak—1091181
Y. Kolos10
LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 14:05Y. Kolos1.83711491O. Rodin1.8311611113LAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos2.2010860Y. Vorsuliak1.611211113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111LAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos2.2010860Y. Vorsuliak1.611211113
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